| Comparing
professional chess to professional poker is like comparing
crackers to cake. The relationship is strong, but the difference
is obvious. Cardplayer.com has a Poker Player of the Year
list that is updated frequently. My projection is that by
the final day of 2003 the top fifty players on this list
will have earned over 25,000,000 dollars! That number is
impressive but the truth is far more incredible. That 25
million is only for the results on final tables (the last
nine players) of particular recognized events. At the championship
event of the World Series of Poker (the annual premier showcase
of poker, held every year for six weeks in downtown Las Vegas,
Nevada at Binion's Horseshoe Casino) 63rd place
paid 15,000 dollars, there was a total prize pool of well
over 8 million dollars. Now the amounts mentioned above do
not have entry fees subtracted, but my educated guess is
that the finishes below ninth would add millions to the total.
In all cases we can easily say that the top fifty players
in the world of tournament poker have earned many millions
over the months of 2003. It is not as easy to come up with
the earnings numbers of the top fifty chess players in the
world in the year of 2003 but using a wild guess I would
be quite surprised if they had earned more than 5,000,000
dollars. Neither set of numbers includes other incomes such
as what famous players might earn from endorsements, writings,
or giving lessons.
So if you are a parent deciding what profession little Johnny
should aim toward do you steer him toward training the mind
to search for the truth (chess), or do you steer him to the
game that pays a much bigger multiple if you get very good
at it (poker)? In chess the better player wins a large percentage
of the time, which rewards good play and good thinking, but
tends to make bad players give up. In the world of poker
a good player must evaluate the situation correctly, he must
know the math of what is going on, he must be aware of the
psychological state of his opponent, and then finally, he
must survive the luck of what happens. The good player in
a poker tournament is often upset about the fickleness of
Lady Luck but that same luck, that possibility of the underdog
coming through and donning the robes of victory, is exactly
why so many play poker for big money. Self-deception is difficult
to maintain in chess once you find some quality opposition,
whereas in poker it takes a long time for most players to
figure out that they are in trouble from the very beginning.
Often the bad player in poker never does understand just
how much of an underdog he is. For some inexplicable reason
in America, it is quite acceptable to meet your friends once
or twice a week at a poker get together and throw away a
certain percentage of what you have earned during the rest
of the week! Is there some underlying understanding of the
gamble of living on a rock hurtling through space, of the
actuarial dangers of crossing a busy street, of the uncertainties
of the stock market, at work here; whereas the pursuit of
truth and the reward of "good" play (in the world of chess)
is too dry, too scientific? We are asking questions here
and do not know the answers. Do you?
I attended this year's United States Chess Championship
in Seattle, Washington and enjoyed it very much. A lot of
effort was put into "media streaming" the event so that it
was available move by move on the internet with a lot of
commentary soon thereafter. IM Jeremy Silman gave lively
analysis in an adjacent room. The top players (along with
assorted other qualifiers) strained mightily over their boards
and pieces to come up with the correct move and it was very
exciting for me as an ex chess master, and probably for many
other chess players, professional and amateur, around the
world. Gripping theater to the general world it was not.
The typical person on the street cannot even grasp the basics
of what was going on.
Poker has faced a similar challenge historically: How to
make something exciting where a group of contestants are
all pulling on the edges and corners of a blanket, but we
do not even know what they are fighting with? Well, a few
years ago in England someone put together a television program
using modern technology (a mini-camera in front of each player)
and once we were allowed to see what the players were using
for weapons (the actual poker hand dealt to them), and what
they did with those weapons, and how much money was at stake,
we had drama - big-time drama! This year in the United States
a television show aired on The Travel Channel featuring the
final tables (in actuality the final six players only in
order to cut to the chase and allow other exotic fillers
for TV such as player profiles, interview clips, poker analysis,
color commentary, nearby tourist attractions, and scenic
vistas) from thirteen inaugural events with millions of dollars
at stake. Most of these tournaments were no-limit Texas holdem,
the game that has been nicknamed the "Cadillac" of poker.
Immediately there was an explosion of interest that is still
changing the way poker events are presented. The World Poker
Tour arrived on television in a way that could not have been
anticipated by a rabid optimist. People gathered around the
water cooler at work on Thursdays and discussed the momentous
decisions that they had seen the night before. Thousands
upon thousands of new players accessed sites online or went
to brick and mortar casinos and cardrooms to try their hand
at this suddenly popular game. ESPN2 had been airing shows
of a few events for several years, from the World Open in
Tunica, Mississippi and from the World Series of Poker in
Las Vegas, Nevada but this year they followed the WPT lead
and made it a full-blown production with seven one hour segments
featuring the World Championship. Not only were there roving
cameras during the first four days of the event as well as
a (chosen daily) featured table with mini-cameras, but another
important technological addition was also featured. The players
on the "chosen" table were "wired" with portable microphones,
allowing the viewers to follow some of the patter, attempts
to discern the strength of opponents holdings, and other
verbal exchanges that occur during this multi-day marathon.
After looking at the Travel Channel's ratings on the WPT
poker show, ESPN as well as ESPN2 aired the World Championship
of Poker and (surprise!) it was the week's highest rated
show on both networks week after week.
Can chess come up with a formula that will work fifteen
percent as well? If so it would probably be a feasible show.
Perhaps poker will make it more possible for chess (?).
I do know that I have had hundreds of people walk up to
me and say "I saw you on ESPN!" and I was not even in a featured
segment or hand. Furthermore, when I sent a manuscript to
a publisher some months ago he wanted me to change the chess
player (in the book) into a poker player. Ah, Hollywood!
Ah, America! We do love a winner, do we not? This year's
winner of the World Championship of Poker was a young man
from Tennessee named Chris Moneymaker (that is his real name,
folks) who earned his way into the event by playing an online
satellite and took home two and one half million dollars.
Not bad for his first ever brick and mortar tournament. Perhaps
you saw his appearance on the David Letterman show? Now that
is a real success story! |